Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 7.775284 9.021545 10.364125 11.913308 13.646719 15.521616 17.697897
2025-12-14 6.076431 7.740757 9.667639 12.045099 14.880132 18.132503 22.124501
2025-12-21 4.999690 6.852462 9.119965 12.061918 15.737257 20.134660 25.746927
2025-12-28 4.370366 6.369899 8.932383 12.395662 16.885772 22.437722 29.739829
2026-01-04 3.848221 5.932266 8.716237 12.617353 17.841085 24.485060 33.448886
2026-01-11 3.371033 5.481778 8.413905 12.662678 18.522276 26.167177 36.718458
2026-01-18 2.858692 4.909292 7.872708 12.312379 18.614984 27.043220 38.931872
2026-01-25 2.454449 4.442849 7.426827 12.039570 18.765907 27.966468 41.203790
2026-02-01 2.104367 4.013950 6.988053 11.727396 18.818207 28.727338 43.251403
2026-02-08 1.812795 3.641361 6.594524 11.440321 18.869867 29.464025 45.263933
2026-02-15 1.549063 3.280481 6.181215 11.081923 18.778799 29.972306 46.948661
2026-02-22 1.402302 3.107654 6.055250 11.158639 19.335754 31.421895 50.005241
2026-03-01 1.262167 2.931648 5.910960 11.198801 19.843032 32.827094 53.063504
2026-03-08 1.150892 2.796424 5.823538 11.322817 20.481886 34.445334 56.480435
2026-03-15 1.036613 2.639268 5.680899 11.338770 20.940374 35.797418 59.533790
2026-03-22 0.974778 2.582312 5.714315 11.656114 21.896861 37.936924 63.822549
2026-03-29 0.905231 2.499260 5.690229 11.866955 22.681088 39.828360 67.781646
2026-04-05 0.823162 2.376743 5.578504 11.910066 23.180263 41.281817 71.102928
2026-04-12 0.710737 2.166757 5.274096 11.576916 23.016522 41.668087 72.773306
2026-04-19 0.619057 1.991123 5.020627 11.317522 22.960425 42.214995 74.697311
2026-04-26 0.535151 1.820196 4.758849 11.020766 22.817786 42.606758 76.375298
2026-05-03 0.463293 1.667486 4.519505 10.747935 22.698691 43.024436 78.094918
2026-05-10 0.395418 1.512162 4.257053 10.407410 22.434198 43.181831 79.387602